Quick Take
According to crypto prediction platform Polymarket, users are betting on a 55% chance that President ***** will withdraw from the presidential race. This significant increase in odds is notable considering that before the first presidential debate on June 27, the market priced in just a 19% chance of ***** dropping out. The day after the debate, this probability surged to 42% and peaked at 63% by July 3 before slightly decreasing to 55%.
Polymarket’s odds also indicate a tightening race between President ***** and Vice President Kamala Harris. *****’s chances of winning the election are now at 15%, while Harris’s odds have jumped to 14%, reflecting growing uncertainty and speculation about the potential shifts in the Democratic candidacy.
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