The Dogecoin price is currently down -34% from its December 8 high at $0.4843. But according to crypto analyst Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA), DOGE has one of “the better looking” charts at the moment. In a new Broadcast on X, he offered an in-depth look at Dogecoin, the broader market environment, and key technical indicators.
Dogecoin: Price Discovery Or Catastrophe?
Despite the current retracement, Kevin believes Dogecoin’s chart “looks really nice at the moment” and appears stronger than many other cryptocurrencies: “This is a stronger coin compared to a lot of the market. I mean, Doge really does look good here. […] Can it not look good in a week from now? Of course it can, but it looks really good at the moment.”
However, he emphasized the possibility of short-term pullbacks—something that could bring Dogecoin down to the $.026 region: “In the short term, could we come back down and test 26 cents? Which I’m gonna throw that out there […] I see no real reason to be uber bearish […] but is it possible that we come back down here? Sure.”
The $0.26 to $0.28 range emerged as the critical juncture for Dogecoin’s near-term outlook: “As long as we remain above this 28 to 26 cent level […] I see no reason to be super fearful. If we pierce that level […] A loss of $0.26 cents on weekly closes would be catastrophic.”
Kevin traced this specific target back to November, when he first suggested Dogecoin would revisit the golden pocket near $0.26. According to him, many were skeptical, but that level eventually got hit: “I took a lot of heat for making that call back in early November when we were at 45 cents […] We ended up coming back down and testing that.”
Looking to the upside, Kevin pinpoints a substantial resistance area between $0.30 and $0.35, calling it “big, big resistance.” Following that, he labels $0.94 to $1.00 as his “next big zone,” though he cautioned traders against assuming a guaranteed climb.
For Dogecoin to breach previous all-time highs and truly enter “full-blown price discovery,” Kevin wants to see a break above the 0.703 and 0.786 Fibonacci retracements—roughly $0.53 and $0.59 cents, respectively: “I don’t see anything holding Dogecoin back from full-blown price discovery […] We want to break 53 cents […] and then the 0.786 at 59 cents. If we’re durably breaking past that 60 cent area, I don’t see anything holding Dogecoin back.”
Drawing parallels to past market cycles, Kevin highlighted how Dogecoin historically checks in with its “bull market support band” and macro support levels before rallying: “We came back, we tested structure support […] bull market support band in this cycle. This is very similar to [the previous cycle]. You can’t deny the similarities.”
He described how Dogecoin’s present chart mirrors its cycle patterns “almost insanely,” referring to a breakout followed by a falling wedge, an initial climb, and a retest of macro support: “Crypto has this insane innate ability to follow its cyclical nature of performance […] it’s truly amazing, really.”
Despite Dogecoin’s cyclical consistency, Kevin reminded viewers that external market factors and Bitcoin’s performance (which he called “the leader of the market”) could always derail patterns: “We obviously need Bitcoin to cooperate. We can’t have any crazy situations happen globally.”
Kevin also examined the DOGE/BTC pair, noting a macro trend line and a golden pocket test: “We have this macro trend line […] we broke through that and we came back in. We’re currently at the bull market support band […] We came back and tested the macro golden pocket again.”
He stressed that if Dogecoin remains above this zone on the DOGE/BTC chart, it should head higher. A breakdown, however, could spell trouble: “Kind of like that 26 cent level […] if we come down and break […] it will coincide with a break of the bull market support band and this macro golden pocket, in which case we can be in some pretty deep s**t.”
Kevin also delved into macroeconomic and geopolitical factors that could influence Dogecoin and the wider crypto sphere. He posited that the President Donald ***** returning to the White House in January is “very bullish” if it leads to improved regulations, reduced conflict, and pro-growth policies: “We have ***** coming in the office in January, meaning we’re going to have a crypto-friendly administration […] If we can get the Ukraine and Russia war ended, that’s going to be bullish for markets […] We can get inflation back down to 2% and then start lowering interest rates faster.”
When And How High Will DOGE Rise Again?
From December dumps to Q1 optimism, Kevin noted how market participants often front-run expectations by about a month. He suggested that if January ends up choppy, February might be the point when markets begin their true climb: “Everyone thought October was going to be bullish. October was not bullish. November was bullish. Now everyone thinks January is going to be bullish […] Maybe February is bullish.”
When pressed for specific price targets, Kevin pointed to several Fibonacci extensions and the Pi Cycle Top indicator on the Dogecoin chart: “If we break through previous all-time highs, the next resistance zone is going to be $0.94 up to $1.32 […] If we break through $1.32, the next big resistance zone that I’m eyeing is $2.19 up to $2.78.”
However, he made it clear that any long-term price predictions depend heavily on technical indicators and confirmations. He highlighted multiple monthly indicators—MACD, RSI, Stoch RSI, and the Pi Cycle Top—as potential signals to exit positions: “I don’t care what the price is at that point […] once we get up into that zone, I’m taking profits off the board. If the monthly indicators start flashing, I’m getting out.”
At press time, DOGE traded at $0.32.
